2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 12:00
11.4764.0%
X4.7419.9%
25.8316.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
DLWWWLWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Osnabruck
LLLDLDLWLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
7.20
11.00
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.90goals per matchOsnabruck conceded2.20Matchup
Osnabruck attack
1.10goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.20
11.00
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.10
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.70
Match total
26.90
Shots
17.20N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
6.50
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.0%66.7%+2.7 pp
Draw19.9%24.1%+4.2 pp
Away16.1%9.3%-6.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS53.7%
Historical average
2.44–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.8%
1-011.1%
3-09.3%
2-07.4%
4-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.83–3.57
Average total9.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.535.2%
Over 11.524.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away41.7%