Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-09 · 19:45
12.3540.6%
X3.3828.2%
23.0531.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DDDWDWLWDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Bologna
DWDDDLWWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.90
Against
2.80
11.50
Total
6.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.20goals per match
Bologna conceded1.00
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.00goals per match
Milan conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
2.80
11.50
Match total
6.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.90
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
21.90
Match total
31.60

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.80
On target
4.20
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,052
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%42.3%+1.7 pp
Draw28.2%28.0%-0.2 pp
Away31.2%29.7%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.451.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
1-010.6%
2-18.9%
0-18.6%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.70
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,052.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches326
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.7%29.7%–40.0% CI
Draw FT40.2%35.0%–45.6% CI
Away FT25.2%20.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away44.2%