2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 19:30
12.9332.2%
X3.5426.6%
22.2941.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Karlsruhe
WLWDWWDDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
St Pauli
WDWWDWLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.40
100%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.60
2.30
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.90
Against
4.10
9.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
4.20
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

2.90goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.40
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.90goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
1.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.10
9.90
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.40
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.00
Match total
19.90

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
6.30
On target
5.00
18%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches281
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%32.4%+0.2 pp
Draw26.6%32.0%+5.4 pp
Away41.2%35.6%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

1.301.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
2-19.6%
2-28.2%
0-08.2%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.024.78
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=281.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.2%18.7%–37.7% CI
Draw FT45.7%35.3%–56.5% CI
Away FT27.2%18.7%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.7%
Away53.1%