2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 19:30
12.9332.2%
X3.5426.6%
22.2941.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Karlsruhe
WLWDWWDDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
St Pauli
WDWWDWLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.40
100%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.60
2.30
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.90
Against
4.10
9.90
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
4.20
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Karlsruhe attack
2.90goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.40Matchup
St Pauli attack
1.90goals per matchKarlsruhe conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
1.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.10
9.90
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.40
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.00
Match total
19.90
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
6.30
On target
5.00
18%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches281
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%32.4%+0.2 pp
Draw26.6%32.0%+5.4 pp
Away41.2%35.6%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS60.9%
Historical average
1.30–1.46
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
2-19.6%
2-28.2%
0-08.2%
1-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.02–4.78
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=281.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.528.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.2%18.7%–37.7% CI
Draw FT45.7%35.3%–56.5% CI
Away FT27.2%18.7%–37.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals16.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.7%
Away53.1%