2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 12:00
13.2229.3%
X3.6126.2%
22.1244.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
WWLLLWDDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Holstein Kiel
WWDWWLDWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.00
1.60
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.10
Against
7.40
11.00
Total
13.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.30goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded0.70
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

2.00goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.10
Corners against
7.40
11.00
Match total
13.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
23.30
Match total
22.50

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.20
On target
5.00
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches150
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.3%30.0%+0.7 pp
Draw26.2%24.7%-1.5 pp
Away44.5%45.3%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.542.0%
BTTS65.3%

Historical average

1.491.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.3%
1-38.0%
1-28.0%
2-17.3%
0-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.795.15
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=150.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.6%20.5%–47.5% CI
Draw FT27.9%16.7%–42.7% CI
Away FT39.5%26.4%–54.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.7%
2+ goals65.1%
3+ goals25.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.8%
Away60.5%