2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-05 · 17:30
12.0745.6%
X3.7325.3%
23.2529.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
WDLWWLWLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Hertha
WWLDDWLWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.70
Against
6.60
12.20
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.50goals per match
Hertha conceded1.60
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.40goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.60
12.20
Match total
11.50
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
21.90
Match total
24.90

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
6.10
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%37.9%-7.7 pp
Draw25.3%22.7%-2.6 pp
Away29.1%39.4%+10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.481.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.1%
1-09.1%
2-29.1%
2-09.1%
0-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.854.14
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away21.4%