2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 12:30
11.5959.1%
X4.2522.1%
25.0018.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Pauli
WWWDDDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Paderborn
DWLWLWDWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.20
Against
5.60
10.20
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Pauli attack
2.10goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.50Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.80goals per matchSt Pauli conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.60
10.20
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.30
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.90
Match total
23.00
Shots
18.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
6.50
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches192
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.1%59.9%+0.8 pp
Draw22.1%18.2%-3.9 pp
Away18.8%21.9%+3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.539.6%
BTTS60.4%
Historical average
2.10–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-110.9%
1-19.4%
1-08.3%
2-07.8%
1-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.34–3.84
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=192.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.531.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI
Draw FT42.1%27.9%–57.8% CI
Away FT18.4%9.2%–33.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.2%
Away42.1%