2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-31 · 12:30
11.5959.1%
X4.2522.1%
25.0018.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
WWWDDDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Paderborn
DWLWLWDWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.20
Against
5.60
10.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

2.10goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.50
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.80goals per match
St Pauli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.60
10.20
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.30
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.90
Match total
23.00

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
6.50
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches192
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.1%59.9%+0.8 pp
Draw22.1%18.2%-3.9 pp
Away18.8%21.9%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.539.6%
BTTS60.4%

Historical average

2.101.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.9%
1-19.4%
1-08.3%
2-07.8%
1-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.84
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=192.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI
Draw FT42.1%27.9%–57.8% CI
Away FT18.4%9.2%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.2%
Away42.1%