2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 19:30
11.7553.8%
X4.0623.2%
24.0923.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
LWDWDDLWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Nurnberg
DLWWLWLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.80
90%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.60
Against
7.40
10.60
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
4.00
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

2.40goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.80
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.30goals per match
Hertha conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.40
10.60
Match total
11.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
25.10
Match total
22.40

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.90
On target
3.70
20%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.8%57.4%+3.6 pp
Draw23.2%23.5%+0.3 pp
Away23.0%19.1%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

1.891.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
2-113.9%
2-010.4%
1-07.8%
3-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.094.13
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Draw FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Away FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals54.2%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away58.3%