2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 12:30
12.2941.2%
X3.5226.8%
22.9532.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
WLWDWDDLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Schalke 04
DLLLWLWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
2.40
90%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.00
Against
4.70
10.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
2.40
3.60
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

2.20goals per match
Schalke 04 conceded2.40
Matchup

Schalke 04 attack

1.10goals per match
Hertha conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.70
10.60
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.60
Match total
22.60

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.70
On target
3.80
18%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches267
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%37.5%-3.8 pp
Draw26.8%25.5%-1.3 pp
Away32.0%37.1%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS58.4%

Historical average

1.461.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-29.7%
1-08.2%
0-07.1%
0-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.324.77
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=266.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.2%29.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT39.2%29.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT21.5%13.9%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals20.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.8%
Away43.0%