2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 12:00
14.7320.0%
X3.9024.2%
21.6955.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
DWWLLLWDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
St Pauli
DWDWWDWLWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.50
Against
4.30
10.90
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.40goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.50
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.80goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.30
10.90
Match total
8.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.10N=10
5.60
Match total
3.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
24.70
Match total
20.40

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.50
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches232
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.0%16.8%-3.1 pp
Draw24.2%20.3%-3.9 pp
Away55.8%62.9%+7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

0.951.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.1%
1-29.5%
0-29.5%
1-39.1%
1-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.135.74
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=232.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.6%10.7%–30.4% CI
Draw FT27.1%17.4%–39.6% CI
Away FT54.2%41.7%–66.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.2%
Away64.4%