2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 12:00
12.8633.0%
X3.7125.4%
22.2741.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elversberg
WDWLWLDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LWWDWWLDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.20
Against
7.30
9.80
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Elversberg attack

1.70goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.20
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.90goals per match
Elversberg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.30
9.80
Match total
12.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.80
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
22.40
Match total
23.60

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.60
On target
4.90
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%31.3%-1.7 pp
Draw25.4%32.5%+7.1 pp
Away41.6%36.3%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS65.0%

Historical average

1.381.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.8%
1-210.0%
2-07.5%
2-26.3%
1-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.894.63
Average total9.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals57.9%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away57.9%