Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 17:00
11.6557.5%
X3.8524.6%
25.3217.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWWWDWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Fiorentina
WLDLWLLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.30
0.50
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.60
Against
5.40
8.00
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.40goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.40
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Roma conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.40
8.00
Match total
8.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
4.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

8.00N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.50
Match total
25.80

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.00
On target
3.60
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches511
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.5%61.3%+3.7 pp
Draw24.6%21.3%-3.3 pp
Away17.8%17.4%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.730.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.4%
2-111.0%
1-110.4%
2-010.2%
3-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.68
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=511.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches152
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT51.3%43.4%–59.1% CI
Draw FT32.2%25.3%–40.0% CI
Away FT16.4%11.4%–23.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.4%
Away36.2%