Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 14:00
112.687.5%
X6.5114.6%
21.2277.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monza
LLLWLDLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Atalanta
WWDDWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
2.10
1.50
Conceded
0.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.10
Against
3.60
8.20
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded
0.30
2.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monza attack
0.70goals per matchAtalanta conceded0.30Matchup
Atalanta attack
2.10goals per matchMonza conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.60
8.20
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.40N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
31.00
Match total
21.60
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
2.90
On target
4.40
6%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.5%6.7%-0.8 pp
Draw14.6%11.1%-3.5 pp
Away77.9%82.2%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.548.9%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
0.71–2.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-217.8%
1-313.3%
0-311.1%
1-411.1%
1-28.9%
Comparable corner averages
2.51–7.89
Average total10.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home21.4%
Away71.4%