Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 14:00
112.687.5%
X6.5114.6%
21.2277.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
LLLWLDLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Atalanta
WWDDWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
2.10
1.50
Conceded
0.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.10
Against
3.60
8.20
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded
0.30
2.20
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Monza attack

0.70goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.30
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.10goals per match
Monza conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.60
8.20
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
31.00
Match total
21.60

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
2.90
On target
4.40
6%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.5%6.7%-0.8 pp
Draw14.6%11.1%-3.5 pp
Away77.9%82.2%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.548.9%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

0.712.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-217.8%
1-313.3%
0-311.1%
1-411.1%
1-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

2.517.89
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home21.4%
Away71.4%