Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 11:30
14.4221.5%
X3.6226.3%
21.8252.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
DLLLDLLLDD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Lazio
WWLWWDWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.30
1.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.80
Against
6.00
8.90
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.60goals per match
Lazio conceded1.00
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.30goals per match
Empoli conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.00
8.90
Match total
11.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
26.90
Match total
24.90

Shots

8.50N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
2.70
On target
4.90
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches172
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.5%21.5%+0.0 pp
Draw26.3%25.0%-1.3 pp
Away52.2%53.5%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS44.8%

Historical average

0.891.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.4%
1-012.2%
0-211.6%
1-211.0%
1-111.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.085.51
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=172.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%15.2%–38.2% CI
Draw FT32.7%21.5%–46.2% CI
Away FT42.3%29.9%–55.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals26.9%
3+ goals3.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.5%
Away50.0%