Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 17:00
16.5514.5%
X4.0823.3%
21.5362.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
WLDLDLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Napoli
WWWWDDLDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.00
Against
4.50
11.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.60goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Lecce conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.50
11.60
Match total
9.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
25.60
Match total
26.30

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.60
5%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.5%13.9%-0.6 pp
Draw23.3%22.2%-1.1 pp
Away62.2%63.9%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS37.5%

Historical average

0.671.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-213.9%
0-113.9%
0-311.1%
1-19.7%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.285.58
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.536.1%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.518.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.8%
Away61.9%