Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 14:00
13.1030.7%
X3.3828.1%
22.3141.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Parma
WLWDLLWDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Como
DDLDLWLLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
4.50
9.10
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Parma attack
1.60goals per matchComo conceded1.30Matchup
Como attack
1.40goals per matchParma conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.50
9.10
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.80
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
24.80
Match total
30.70
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.50
On target
4.70
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches632
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.7%29.9%-0.8 pp
Draw28.1%26.4%-1.7 pp
Away41.2%43.7%+2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS56.3%
Historical average
1.20–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
1-29.8%
0-19.3%
1-07.6%
2-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.81–5.29
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=632.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.6%23.6%–36.5% CI
Draw FT34.4%28.0%–41.4% CI
Away FT36.0%29.5%–43.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals20.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.0%
Away55.6%