Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-28 · 19:45
12.6036.6%
X2.7934.1%
23.2429.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
LLLDLLWLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Cagliari
LLWDLDLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.30
Scored
0.60
2.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
0.60
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.00
Against
5.30
8.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.30
Goals scored
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
1.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Verona attack

0.30goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.30
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.60goals per match
Verona conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.20
1.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.30
8.70
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
25.50
Match total
23.70

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
2.70
On target
2.60
3%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.6%44.0%+7.4 pp
Draw34.1%28.0%-6.1 pp
Away29.3%28.0%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.512.0%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.161.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.0%
1-116.0%
0-012.0%
1-012.0%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.804.16
Average total8.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI
Draw FT46.9%30.9%–63.6% CI
Away FT28.1%15.6%–45.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.1%
Away59.4%