Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-28 · 19:45
11.5163.0%
X4.4021.6%
26.1715.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WLDDLWDDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Parma
LLDLLLLDDD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.50
1.60
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.70
Against
6.30
10.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.60goals per match
Parma conceded1.60
Matchup

Parma attack

0.50goals per match
Lazio conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.30
10.10
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.30
Match total
3.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
23.90
Match total
21.60

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.00
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches326
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.0%64.7%+1.7 pp
Draw21.6%19.3%-2.3 pp
Away15.4%16.0%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

2.030.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.6%
2-012.0%
2-19.8%
1-19.2%
3-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.313.65
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=326.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.1%43.4%–66.2% CI
Draw FT30.4%20.8%–42.1% CI
Away FT14.5%8.1%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.7%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.2%
Away33.3%