Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-28 · 17:30
14.4721.3%
X3.4427.6%
21.8651.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
LLDDLWWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Bologna
LDWDDDLWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Against
2.60
9.60
Total
5.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.10goals per match
Bologna conceded1.30
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.00goals per match
Udinese conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
2.60
9.60
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
25.80
Match total
31.30

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.20
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.3%24.6%+3.3 pp
Draw27.6%28.1%+0.4 pp
Away51.1%47.4%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS46.5%

Historical average

0.931.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
0-112.3%
0-011.4%
1-210.5%
0-29.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.165.46
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=114.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.1%8.5%–31.3% CI
Draw FT53.7%38.7%–67.9% CI
Away FT29.3%17.6%–44.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals9.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.5%
Away53.7%