Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 19:45
11.4266.9%
X4.4321.5%
28.1711.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WLWWWDDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Torino
DWDDDLWDDL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.40
Against
6.50
10.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.50goals per match
Torino conceded1.10
Matchup

Torino attack

1.20goals per match
Napoli conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.50
10.80
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.20
Match total
4.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
19.80
Match total
26.10

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.50
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.9%71.7%+4.8 pp
Draw21.5%20.7%-0.8 pp
Away11.6%7.6%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS41.3%

Historical average

1.930.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.5%
2-016.3%
2-112.0%
1-19.8%
3-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.333.33
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%50.3%–79.8% CI
Draw FT22.2%11.7%–38.1% CI
Away FT11.1%4.4%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals52.8%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away33.3%