Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 19:45
11.2377.2%
X6.3215.0%
212.237.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWDLDDDLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lecce
WLLWLWDLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.60
Against
5.60
8.10
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.10goals per match
Lecce conceded1.70
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.10goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.60
8.10
Match total
8.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.40
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
22.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.90
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.2%81.9%+4.7 pp
Draw15.0%12.5%-2.5 pp
Away7.8%5.6%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

2.550.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.7%
3-111.8%
2-111.8%
4-09.0%
3-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.873.13
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.7%39.2%–72.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%19.2%–51.2% CI
Away FT10.0%3.5%–25.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away43.3%