Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 17:00
11.1880.4%
X7.1113.4%
215.316.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
DDDWWWWLWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Monza
DLLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
6.40
9.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.60
3.00
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.80goals per match
Monza conceded2.60
Matchup

Monza attack

0.70goals per match
Juventus conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.40
9.40
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.10
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
24.20
Match total
27.90

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
5.80
On target
2.30
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.4%83.8%+3.4 pp
Draw13.4%12.1%-1.2 pp
Away6.2%4.0%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS43.4%

Historical average

2.470.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.2%
3-012.1%
2-112.1%
1-011.1%
1-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.762.57
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%52.9%–84.7% CI
Draw FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI
Away FT7.1%2.0%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.96

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away28.6%