Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 17:00
11.1880.4%
X7.1113.4%
215.316.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
DDDWWWWLWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Monza
DLLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
6.40
9.40
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.60
3.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
1.80goals per matchMonza conceded2.60Matchup
Monza attack
0.70goals per matchJuventus conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.40
9.40
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.10
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
24.20
Match total
27.90
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
5.80
On target
2.30
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.4%83.8%+3.4 pp
Draw13.4%12.1%-1.2 pp
Away6.2%4.0%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS43.4%
Historical average
2.47–0.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-017.2%
3-012.1%
2-112.1%
1-011.1%
1-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.76–2.57
Average total10.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%52.9%–84.7% CI
Draw FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI
Away FT7.1%2.0%–22.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.96
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals35.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away28.6%