Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 14:00
11.8252.3%
X3.5127.1%
24.6120.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
LLDWWLWWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Empoli
WLDLLLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.70
Against
5.40
7.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
2.10
2.10
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.20goals per match
Empoli conceded2.10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.10goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.40
7.40
Match total
10.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.10
Match total
2.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
26.90
Match total
26.30

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches337
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.3%52.2%-0.0 pp
Draw27.1%27.0%-0.1 pp
Away20.6%20.8%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.500.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-013.1%
2-111.0%
2-011.0%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.493.96
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=337.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches99
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.4%33.2%–52.3% CI
Draw FT41.4%32.2%–51.3% CI
Away FT16.2%10.2%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.6%
Away39.4%