Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 11:30
14.7120.2%
X3.9823.9%
21.7055.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Venezia
DWDLDLDDLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Milan
LWWLWLLWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
5.90N=10
6.60
Against
3.60
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
1.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Venezia attack
0.70goals per matchMilan conceded1.30Matchup
Milan attack
1.60goals per matchVenezia conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
6.60
Corners against
3.60
10.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
29.00
Match total
24.30
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.20
On target
5.40
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches289
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.2%16.3%-3.9 pp
Draw23.9%22.1%-1.7 pp
Away55.9%61.6%+5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
0.94–1.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-211.4%
1-211.4%
0-110.7%
1-19.7%
1-38.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.19–5.69
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=289.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%11.0%–27.9% CI
Draw FT30.8%21.6%–41.7% CI
Away FT51.3%40.4%–62.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals21.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away62.8%