Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 11:30
14.7120.2%
X3.9823.9%
21.7055.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Venezia
DWDLDLDDLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Milan
LWWLWLLWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.90N=10
6.60
Against
3.60
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
1.50
Total goals
2.90
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Venezia attack

0.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.30
Matchup

Milan attack

1.60goals per match
Venezia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
6.60
Corners against
3.60
10.60
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
29.00
Match total
24.30

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.20
On target
5.40
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches289
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.2%16.3%-3.9 pp
Draw23.9%22.1%-1.7 pp
Away55.9%61.6%+5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

0.941.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-211.4%
1-211.4%
0-110.7%
1-19.7%
1-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.195.69
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=289.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%11.0%–27.9% CI
Draw FT30.8%21.6%–41.7% CI
Away FT51.3%40.4%–62.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals21.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away62.8%