Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 11:30
11.8551.5%
X3.4827.4%
24.5021.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Como
WWLWLLWDDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Genoa
DWDLLDLDLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.70
Against
5.10
8.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
1.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Como attack

1.60goals per match
Genoa conceded1.00
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.60goals per match
Como conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.10
8.30
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.40
Match total
3.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
27.90
Match total
26.00

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
6.00
On target
2.20
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches472
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.5%51.5%+0.0 pp
Draw27.4%28.0%+0.6 pp
Away21.2%20.6%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.470.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-013.6%
2-011.0%
2-110.8%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.593.78
Average total9.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=471.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.534.0%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches151
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT41.1%33.5%–49.0% CI
Draw FT41.1%33.5%–49.0% CI
Away FT17.9%12.6%–24.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.6%
Away41.7%