Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-23 · 17:30
14.6820.3%
X3.7025.7%
21.7654.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LWLWDLLWDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Juventus
DDWDDLWWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.90
Against
4.50
8.50
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.60goals per match
Juventus conceded1.10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.00goals per match
Parma conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Match total
8.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.50
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.30
Match total
22.80

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.50
On target
5.30
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches222
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.3%21.2%+0.9 pp
Draw25.7%21.6%-4.1 pp
Away54.0%57.2%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

0.941.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.4%
0-213.1%
1-112.2%
1-29.5%
1-36.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.135.68
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=222.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.4%19.4%–39.5% CI
Draw FT24.3%16.0%–35.2% CI
Away FT47.3%36.3%–58.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals20.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.6%
Away66.2%