Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-23 · 17:30
13.3728.2%
X3.1430.3%
22.2941.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Genoa
DDDLWWWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Lazio
LWWLWWDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.40
Against
5.80
10.30
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Genoa attack
1.30goals per matchLazio conceded1.30Matchup
Lazio attack
1.20goals per matchGenoa conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.80
10.30
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
25.60
Match total
25.30
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.90
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches369
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%24.9%-3.3 pp
Draw30.3%33.1%+2.8 pp
Away41.5%42.0%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS47.2%
Historical average
1.00–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
0-112.7%
0-010.8%
1-09.5%
0-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.30–4.93
Average total9.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=369.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.532.5%
Over 11.524.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.5%14.1%–28.9% CI
Draw FT47.3%38.3%–56.5% CI
Away FT32.1%24.2%–41.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals9.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home34.8%
Away45.5%