Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-23 · 17:30
13.3728.2%
X3.1430.3%
22.2941.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
DDDLWWWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Lazio
LWWLWWDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.40
Against
5.80
10.30
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.30goals per match
Lazio conceded1.30
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.20goals per match
Genoa conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.80
10.30
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
25.60
Match total
25.30

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.90
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches369
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%24.9%-3.3 pp
Draw30.3%33.1%+2.8 pp
Away41.5%42.0%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.001.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
0-112.7%
0-010.8%
1-09.5%
0-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.304.93
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=369.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.532.5%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.5%14.1%–28.9% CI
Draw FT47.3%38.3%–56.5% CI
Away FT32.1%24.2%–41.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals9.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.8%
Away45.5%