Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-23 · 17:30
13.0431.3%
X3.1830.0%
22.4638.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
DWLLWLWLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Fiorentina
WWLDLWLLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Against
5.10
9.40
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.50goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.30
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.20goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.10
9.40
Match total
7.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.40
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
23.80
Match total
25.60

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.40
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches551
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%33.0%+1.7 pp
Draw30.0%26.1%-3.8 pp
Away38.7%40.8%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.121.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
0-111.4%
1-011.1%
0-28.2%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.595.03
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=551.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches179
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%27.0%–40.7% CI
Draw FT33.5%27.0%–40.7% CI
Away FT33.0%26.5%–40.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.7%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.7%
Away49.2%