Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 19:45
12.5337.5%
X3.4727.3%
22.7035.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WDDDWDWLWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Atalanta
WWWDDWWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.30
1.00
Conceded
0.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.70
Against
3.10
11.30
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.30
1.00
Goals conceded
0.40
2.50
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.50goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.40
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.30goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.10
11.30
Match total
7.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
0%0/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.20
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.20
Match total
21.50

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.10
On target
4.80
9%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches336
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%38.1%+0.6 pp
Draw27.3%28.0%+0.6 pp
Away35.1%33.9%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

1.471.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
2-19.2%
1-28.6%
2-27.4%
1-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.215.08
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=336.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.7%30.7%–51.6% CI
Draw FT35.8%26.2%–46.7% CI
Away FT23.5%15.6%–33.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals17.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.3%
Away48.1%