2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 14:30
11.9548.1%
X3.8824.2%
23.3827.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
WLLWWLWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Nurnberg
WDDLLLDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.90
Against
4.50
8.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
3.80
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

2.50goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.90
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

0.70goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.50
8.40
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Match total
4.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
20.80
Match total
24.70

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
6.40
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.1%53.7%+5.6 pp
Draw24.2%25.3%+1.1 pp
Away27.7%21.1%-6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS58.9%

Historical average

1.751.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
1-015.8%
2-010.5%
2-17.4%
1-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.45
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%52.1%–83.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%9.5%–37.3% CI
Away FT10.0%3.5%–25.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away26.7%