Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 17:00
13.2829.0%
X3.1330.4%
22.3440.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WLDWWWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Inter
WWWWDLLDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.60
Against
5.20
8.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
3.40
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

2.30goals per match
Inter conceded0.80
Matchup

Inter attack

2.00goals per match
Bologna conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.20
8.20
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.60
Match total
2.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
30.90
Match total
21.30

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
5.90
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches475
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.0%28.6%-0.4 pp
Draw30.4%26.3%-4.1 pp
Away40.6%45.1%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.518.7%
BTTS44.6%

Historical average

0.951.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-112.8%
1-011.2%
0-09.7%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.504.96
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=475.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.5%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.3%19.2%–32.5% CI
Draw FT40.1%32.9%–47.8% CI
Away FT34.6%27.7%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.0%
Away50.0%