2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 12:00
12.5037.8%
X3.7725.0%
22.5437.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bielefeld
LWLLLWDDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Paderborn
LLWWDDLLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.90
Against
5.60
10.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bielefeld attack

1.50goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.60
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.20goals per match
Bielefeld conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.60
10.20
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
24.20
Match total
23.90

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.30
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%48.3%+10.5 pp
Draw25.0%10.3%-14.7 pp
Away37.2%41.4%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.551.7%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.831.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-113.8%
2-210.3%
2-010.3%
0-110.3%
2-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.835.31
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.541.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI
Away FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away75.0%