2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-19 · 17:30
12.9532.0%
X3.9424.0%
22.1544.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
LDWLDLLWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
St Pauli
LLDWWWWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.10
1.80
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.90
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.30
Against
3.30
9.50
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.10
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.40goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.30
Matchup

St Pauli attack

2.10goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.30
9.50
Match total
8.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.40
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
25.10
Match total
19.80

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.00
On target
5.60
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%22.2%-9.8 pp
Draw24.0%27.8%+3.8 pp
Away44.0%50.0%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS83.3%

Historical average

1.392.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-316.7%
1-116.7%
2-111.1%
1-211.1%
2-45.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.674.61
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.516.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away80.0%