Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 14:00
12.3041.3%
X3.0331.4%
23.4827.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Empoli
WDLLLDLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Venezia
LLDLDLLDDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.30
1.20
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Against
6.10
9.10
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Empoli attack
0.50goals per matchVenezia conceded1.50Matchup
Venezia attack
0.70goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.10
9.10
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.80
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.20
Match total
25.90
Shots
8.30N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
2.70
On target
2.60
6%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches662
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%43.7%+2.3 pp
Draw31.4%30.5%-0.9 pp
Away27.3%25.8%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.30–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.0%
1-013.7%
2-010.3%
0-09.4%
2-19.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.99–4.24
Average total9.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=662.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.2%
Over 9.542.7%
Over 10.531.9%
Over 11.523.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches232
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.9%31.9%–44.3% CI
Draw FT40.5%34.4%–46.9% CI
Away FT21.6%16.7%–27.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals14.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away42.7%