2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 12:30
12.2442.0%
X3.4527.3%
23.0630.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paderborn
LWLLWWLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Heidenheim
DLDWLWDDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.80
Against
5.00
8.50
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paderborn attack
2.30goals per matchHeidenheim conceded1.20Matchup
Heidenheim attack
1.50goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.00
8.50
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.50
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
21.50
Match total
22.20
Shots
16.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
6.20
On target
4.80
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches515
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%43.3%+1.3 pp
Draw27.3%28.0%+0.7 pp
Away30.7%28.7%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS55.3%
Historical average
1.54–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
2-19.5%
1-08.5%
2-08.3%
0-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.71–4.47
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=514.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches155
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.7%31.4%–46.6% CI
Draw FT34.8%27.8%–42.6% CI
Away FT26.5%20.1%–33.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals20.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.7%
Away47.1%