2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 12:30
12.2442.0%
X3.4527.3%
23.0630.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
LWLLWWLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Heidenheim
DLDWLWDDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.80
Against
5.00
8.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

2.30goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.20
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.50goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.00
8.50
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.50
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
21.50
Match total
22.20

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
6.20
On target
4.80
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches515
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%43.3%+1.3 pp
Draw27.3%28.0%+0.7 pp
Away30.7%28.7%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.541.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
2-19.5%
1-08.5%
2-08.3%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.714.47
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=514.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches155
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.7%31.4%–46.6% CI
Draw FT34.8%27.8%–42.6% CI
Away FT26.5%20.1%–33.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.7%
Away47.1%