2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 19:30
12.0146.8%
X3.5726.3%
23.4926.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
WDDWWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Fortuna Dusseldorf
LWWLLLWWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
5.70
8.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.40goals per match
Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.60
Matchup

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack

1.40goals per match
St Pauli conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.70
8.70
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
5.10
On target
5.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches272
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%41.2%-5.6 pp
Draw26.3%30.1%+3.8 pp
Away26.9%28.7%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.631.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-29.9%
2-19.6%
0-07.7%
1-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.42
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=272.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%15.8%–37.2% CI
Draw FT51.7%39.3%–63.8% CI
Away FT23.3%14.4%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.0%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away46.7%