2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 19:30
12.0146.8%
X3.5726.3%
23.4926.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Pauli
WDDWWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Fortuna Dusseldorf
LWWLLLWWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
5.70
8.70
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Pauli attack
1.40goals per matchFortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.60Matchup
Fortuna Dusseldorf attack
1.40goals per matchSt Pauli conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.70
8.70
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.50
Match total
23.60
Shots
17.20N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
5.10
On target
5.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches272
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%41.2%-5.6 pp
Draw26.3%30.1%+3.8 pp
Away26.9%28.7%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS60.3%
Historical average
1.63–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
2-29.9%
2-19.6%
0-07.7%
1-27.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.54–4.42
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=272.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%15.8%–37.2% CI
Draw FT51.7%39.3%–63.8% CI
Away FT23.3%14.4%–35.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.0%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals18.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away46.7%