2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 12:00
12.5237.3%
X3.7625.0%
22.4937.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
WLDWLDLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Karlsruhe
WLLDWWLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.40
Against
5.70
10.10
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.50goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded1.60
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

1.40goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.70
10.10
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
24.70
Match total
18.70

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.20
On target
4.80
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.3%37.9%+0.6 pp
Draw25.0%20.7%-4.3 pp
Away37.7%41.4%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.572.4%
Over 3.558.6%
BTTS65.5%

Historical average

1.831.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-213.8%
3-113.8%
2-010.3%
0-110.3%
1-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.935.62
Average total10.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.9%
Over 9.562.1%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.537.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away66.7%