2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 12:30
11.6357.6%
X4.0023.5%
24.9519.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heidenheim
WWWWDWWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Magdeburg
LWWLLWWLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.00
1H goals
0.90
2.10
2H goals
2.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.80
Against
5.60
9.00
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
4.10
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heidenheim attack
3.00goals per matchMagdeburg conceded1.90Matchup
Magdeburg attack
1.70goals per matchHeidenheim conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.60
9.00
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Match total
6.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
21.40
Match total
26.60
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
5.40
On target
5.30
20%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%60.5%+2.9 pp
Draw23.5%16.0%-7.5 pp
Away19.0%23.5%+4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.537.0%
BTTS63.0%
Historical average
2.09–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.3%
1-110.1%
2-08.4%
1-28.4%
1-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.59–3.96
Average total10.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.558.0%
Over 10.547.9%
Over 11.538.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.2%33.0%–70.8% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.74
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals56.5%
3+ goals26.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.3%
Away56.5%