2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 12:00
11.7354.4%
X4.0523.2%
24.2022.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fortuna Dusseldorf
LWLWWWDDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Holstein Kiel
WDWDLWDDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
9.20
10.10
Total
13.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fortuna Dusseldorf attack
1.70goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.40Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.60goals per matchFortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
9.20
10.10
Match total
13.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
22.00
Match total
22.80
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.20
On target
4.50
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.4%56.8%+2.4 pp
Draw23.2%20.5%-2.8 pp
Away22.4%22.7%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.543.2%
BTTS64.8%
Historical average
2.02–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.5%
2-011.4%
1-111.4%
3-16.8%
2-25.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–4.32
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away66.7%