2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-05 · 17:30
12.1543.8%
X3.8424.5%
22.9831.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
DLWWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Paderborn
DLLWWDDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.30
Against
6.10
10.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
4.30
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.90goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.40
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.00goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.10
10.10
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
22.10
Match total
22.70

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
6.90
On target
3.50
17%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%37.5%-6.3 pp
Draw24.5%12.5%-12.0 pp
Away31.6%50.0%+18.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.561.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-218.8%
2-312.5%
0-212.5%
2-012.5%
3-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.884.25
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away36.4%