2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-05 · 17:30
12.1543.8%
X3.8424.5%
22.9831.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hamburg
DLWWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Paderborn
DLLWWDDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.30
Against
6.10
10.10
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
4.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hamburg attack
2.90goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.40Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.00goals per matchHamburg conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.10
10.10
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
22.10
Match total
22.70
Shots
17.10N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
6.90
On target
3.50
17%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%37.5%-6.3 pp
Draw24.5%12.5%-12.0 pp
Away31.6%50.0%+18.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS56.3%
Historical average
1.56–1.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-218.8%
2-312.5%
0-212.5%
2-012.5%
3-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.88–4.25
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away36.4%