Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 17:00
112.967.3%
X5.4717.4%
21.2675.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
LLLLWLDLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Napoli
WWWWWDDLDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.00
Against
4.30
8.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Monza attack

0.70goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Monza conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.30
8.10
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.90
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
30.40
Match total
25.80

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.10
On target
3.70
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.3%0.0%-7.3 pp
Draw17.4%15.4%-2.0 pp
Away75.3%84.6%+9.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS15.4%

Historical average

0.151.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-230.8%
0-123.1%
0-015.4%
0-315.4%
1-315.4%

Comparable corner averages

2.386.23
Average total8.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.2%
Over 9.530.8%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home14.3%
Away71.4%