2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 12:30
13.1030.3%
X3.6325.9%
22.1443.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
DWLDWLDLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Darmstadt
WWDWWWLLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
40%
100%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.40
Against
6.50
10.90
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
0.80
3.20
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
100%10/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.60goals per match
Darmstadt conceded0.80
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

1.30goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.50
10.90
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.50
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
23.80
Match total
22.30

Shots

17.90N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
5.40
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches181
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%34.3%+4.0 pp
Draw25.9%22.1%-3.8 pp
Away43.9%43.6%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS61.9%

Historical average

1.411.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-29.4%
1-19.4%
2-17.7%
0-07.2%
1-36.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.664.95
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=181.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.547.0%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.0%17.5%–41.7% CI
Draw FT38.0%25.9%–51.8% CI
Away FT34.0%22.4%–47.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals52.0%
3+ goals24.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.0%
Away56.0%