Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 14:00
13.6725.9%
X3.3728.2%
22.0745.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DWLDLDLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Como
LDDLDLWLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.30
Against
3.90
11.20
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.70goals per match
Como conceded1.40
Matchup

Como attack

1.10goals per match
Lecce conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
3.90
11.20
Match total
7.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.70
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
24.10
Match total
30.10

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.20
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches237
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.9%26.2%+0.3 pp
Draw28.2%28.3%+0.1 pp
Away45.9%45.6%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.091.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
0-18.9%
0-28.4%
1-08.4%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.555.41
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=237.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%10.4%–28.4% CI
Draw FT48.5%37.1%–60.2% CI
Away FT33.8%23.7%–45.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.6%
Away57.4%