2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 12:30
11.8152.0%
X3.6925.5%
24.1822.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
WWWWWDWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LWDWDLWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.10
Against
8.30
8.40
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
4.10
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

2.90goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.50
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.80goals per match
Heidenheim conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.10
Corners against
8.30
8.40
Match total
12.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.10
Match total
22.30

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
5.60
On target
5.10
20%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches171
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.0%54.4%+2.4 pp
Draw25.5%25.7%+0.2 pp
Away22.5%19.9%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.701.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
2-112.3%
1-011.7%
2-09.4%
1-26.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.85
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=171.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.7%31.4%–58.8% CI
Draw FT31.9%20.4%–46.2% CI
Away FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.66

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals55.3%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.1%
Away51.1%