2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 12:00
13.1929.4%
X3.3528.0%
22.2142.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
LDLWLWWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Fortuna Dusseldorf
LLWWLLLWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.50
Against
5.20
9.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
1.90
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.00goals per match
Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.60
Matchup

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack

1.40goals per match
Nurnberg conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.20
9.10
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.40
Match total
24.10

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.60
On target
5.00
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches477
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.4%27.7%-1.8 pp
Draw28.0%24.3%-3.7 pp
Away42.5%48.0%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.101.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.6%
1-112.4%
0-110.7%
1-09.6%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.645.11
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=477.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches144
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.5%21.7%–36.3% CI
Draw FT37.5%30.0%–45.6% CI
Away FT34.0%26.8%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals43.1%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.6%
Away54.9%