2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-21 · 17:30
12.0945.1%
X3.6325.9%
23.2529.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
WDLWWWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
St Pauli
LLLLDWWWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.80
2.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.30
Against
3.60
10.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.80
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.70goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.30
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.60goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.60
10.60
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.70
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
22.40
Match total
19.30

Shots

17.90N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
7.40
On target
4.80
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.1%41.1%-3.9 pp
Draw25.9%23.4%-2.6 pp
Away29.0%35.5%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.511.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.2%
0-07.5%
0-17.5%
1-17.5%
2-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.424.40
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI
Away FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away29.2%