2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-21 · 17:30
11.7055.4%
X3.9224.0%
24.5720.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Darmstadt
WWDWDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Karlsruhe
LLWLLDWWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.80
Against
5.60
10.10
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Darmstadt attack
1.50goals per matchKarlsruhe conceded1.40Matchup
Karlsruhe attack
1.20goals per matchDarmstadt conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.60
10.10
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.60
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
27.40
Match total
20.60
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches216
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.4%62.0%+6.7 pp
Draw24.0%20.8%-3.2 pp
Away20.6%17.1%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.537.0%
BTTS57.9%
Historical average
1.99–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.9%
2-09.7%
1-08.8%
3-18.8%
2-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.88–3.90
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=216.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.525.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.1%37.2%–64.7% CI
Draw FT36.2%24.0%–50.5% CI
Away FT12.8%6.0%–25.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals63.8%
3+ goals29.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.3%
Away44.7%