2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 12:30
12.3040.8%
X3.4527.2%
22.9431.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fortuna Dusseldorf
WWLWLWWWDD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Darmstadt
DWWDWWWLLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.10
Against
6.60
9.10
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fortuna Dusseldorf attack
2.00goals per matchDarmstadt conceded1.00Matchup
Darmstadt attack
1.60goals per matchFortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.60
9.10
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.30
Match total
23.40
Shots
16.90N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
6.20
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches381
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%40.4%-0.4 pp
Draw27.2%28.1%+0.9 pp
Away31.9%31.5%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS56.2%
Historical average
1.45–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.1%
1-29.7%
2-19.2%
2-08.7%
1-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.37–4.65
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=380.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.4%23.2%–40.9% CI
Draw FT39.2%30.3%–48.9% CI
Away FT29.4%21.4%–38.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals18.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away45.1%