2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 12:00
12.0645.6%
X3.5426.5%
23.3727.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
LDWLDWLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Nurnberg
LLLWDDLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
1.80
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
11.70
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.60goals per match
Nurnberg conceded2.10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

0.60goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
11.70
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.20
Match total
24.20

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.80
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches242
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%45.0%-0.6 pp
Draw26.5%33.5%+6.9 pp
Away27.9%21.5%-6.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.571.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
1-010.7%
2-19.5%
2-08.3%
2-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.45
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=242.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.2%24.4%–45.7% CI
Draw FT46.6%35.6%–57.9% CI
Away FT19.2%11.8%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals49.3%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.3%
Away53.4%