2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 12:00
12.0645.6%
X3.5426.5%
23.3727.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
LDWLDWLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Nurnberg
LLLWDDLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.60
1.80
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
11.70
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.60goals per matchNurnberg conceded2.10Matchup
Nurnberg attack
0.60goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
11.70
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.20
Match total
24.20
Shots
18.00N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.80
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches242
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%45.0%-0.6 pp
Draw26.5%33.5%+6.9 pp
Away27.9%21.5%-6.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
1.57–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.0%
1-010.7%
2-19.5%
2-08.3%
2-27.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.46–4.45
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=242.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.528.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.2%24.4%–45.7% CI
Draw FT46.6%35.6%–57.9% CI
Away FT19.2%11.8%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals49.3%
3+ goals17.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.3%
Away53.4%