2. Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 12:30
11.9947.2%
X3.6126.0%
23.5026.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Darmstadt
DWWDWDWWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Paderborn
LWDLLWWDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.90
Against
6.20
10.40
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Darmstadt attack
1.40goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.20Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.10goals per matchDarmstadt conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.20
10.40
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
28.10
Match total
21.90
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.50
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches292
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.2%43.8%-3.3 pp
Draw26.0%28.4%+2.4 pp
Away26.8%27.7%+0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS58.9%
Historical average
1.64–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.6%
2-110.3%
2-28.9%
0-07.2%
1-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.57–4.45
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=292.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%19.9%–41.1% CI
Draw FT47.1%35.7%–58.8% CI
Away FT23.5%15.0%–34.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals16.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away45.6%