Serie A · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 19:45
12.8333.6%
X3.2029.7%
22.6036.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWLDDLWDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Roma
LLLDDWWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.50
Against
4.00
9.10
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
3.30
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.70goals per match
Roma conceded1.00
Matchup

Roma attack

1.10goals per match
Lazio conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.00
9.10
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.80
Match total
4.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.40
Match total
24.80

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.80
On target
4.60
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches883
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%32.4%-1.2 pp
Draw29.7%28.2%-1.5 pp
Away36.6%39.4%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.161.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
0-111.4%
0-09.3%
2-18.9%
1-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.864.90
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=883.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches299
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.8%25.8%–36.2% CI
Draw FT38.1%32.8%–43.8% CI
Away FT31.1%26.1%–36.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.5%
Away49.2%